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Brazil Just Handed Prediction Markets Their Biggest Presidential Miss
Despite Stellar Historical Records on Presidential Elections, The Markets Missed
Oct 26
•
Daniel Zimmermann
US Department of Defense: “Our Enemies Watch Movements in The [Prediction] Markets”
Secretary Hegseth’s prediction market memo admits more than it intends
Oct 23
•
Alex Goldenberg
4
Announcing TripWire - The Realtime Newswire for Prediction Markets
BETINT’s TripWire alerts you when money moves before anyone else.
Oct 22
•
Daniel Zimmermann
and
Sean Anthony Guillory Ph.D.
1
Kalshi Account Tied to Fake Pollster Bet Ahead of His Firm’s Polls, BETINT Analysis Finds
A Kalshi account tied to the pollster behind Wedgewood Polls bet ahead of three surveys published by his previous firm, each time betting the way the…
Oct 22
•
Daniel Zimmermann
and
Alex Goldenberg
2
1
1
WSJ x BETINT Reporting: Kalshi Press Secretary Trading
The Wall Street Journal used BETINT trade data in its coverage of suspicious early bets on the correct pick for next Press Secretary.
Oct 16
•
Daniel Zimmermann
How a $1 Million Data Center Bet Led Us to a Polymarket Wallet Network With $3.8M Profit
The biggest wager on whether states will ban data centers came from a group of professional traders who co-fund, co-trade and quietly pass shares…
Oct 14
•
Daniel Zimmermann
1
What Prediction Markets Say About A Potential Pneumonic Plague Pandemic
Twelve new prediction markets are trading on what happens next, including a spike in the odds of a new pandemic.
Oct 5
•
Daniel Zimmermann
3
September 2026
3D Reconstruction of Attempted Hijacking of Flydubai Flight FDB1073: Miraculous Recovery After Diving 14K Feet in 1 Minute
A 737 fell ~14,000 feet in under a minute and broadcast the hijack code. We were tracking the entire flight in real time.
Sep 30
•
Daniel Zimmermann
1
Why the Saudi Arabia & Israel Normalization Kalshi Market Just Spiked to 97%
The Kalshi Market on Normalization Jumped from 22% to 97% In A Single Day
Sep 16
•
Daniel Zimmermann
and
Alex Goldenberg
2
1
August 2026
New $818K Bet Against Clarity Act Passing Pushes Suspicious Bets up to $3M Across 8 Wallets
Two weeks ago we documented 5 brand-new Polymarket accounts betting $1.4 million that the CLARITY Act dies. Millions more have now been wagered by…
Aug 28
•
Daniel Zimmermann
6
2
Five Fresh Polymarket Wallets Bet $1.4 Million That the Clarity Act Fails
Brand New Polymarket Accounts Are Trading With High Conviction On a Single Market
Aug 14
•
Daniel Zimmermann
,
Gary Morland
, and
Sean Anthony Guillory Ph.D.
3
1
2
Investigation: What Did Trump's Teleprompter Bettor Bet On?
Our High Confidence Findings of Anomalous Winning Trump Speech Trades
Aug 6
•
Daniel Zimmermann
1
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