Today we’re launching TripWire, the newswire for prediction markets.
TripWire is a live newswire for reporters, newsrooms, and analysts seeking real time signals from prediction markets and betting markets. This product is the embodiment of our BETINT thesis: that betting markets and activity create a new information space that serves as an intelligence signal of intent, insider knowledge, and pending real-world action.
This product came together through months of collaborative investigations and pilot programs with major organizations across the media landscape.
What TripWire Delivers
TripWire produces live story cards and push alerts in the following formats:
Moved Before the News: a market moved before the news broke with high conviction and a lack of credible public information as to why. These are our insider candidates.
Market Reactions: Markets instantly react to new information. Sharp traders nearly always take action before media and social media see it.
Price moves: sharp moves on Kalshi and Polymarket in real time.
Large trades: big single bets as they hit the order book.
Position builds: one-sided money piling into a market over a short period ($100K+ on one side).
Crowd moves: many separate bettors piling onto the same side at once.
New markets: fresh listings that draw real money in their first day. Controversial markets (charges, trials, conflicts, arrests, pardons, impeachments, scandals) are emphasized.
BETINT.ai Investigations: our internal reporting conducting deep dives on the market dynamics and discoveries of our own AMS (automated market surveillance) technology.
Why Should Your Organization Care about TripWire?
The underlying technology behind TripWire is the same technology that is responsible for BETINT’s reporting that has been cited in and collaborated with The Wall Street Journal, NBC News, The New York Times, and many more top quality media organizations in the US and abroad. Everything we have reported came out of this technology.
A few examples:
NBC News and BETINT reported on a $331,226 bet on Putin leaving power via assassination, coup, death, or election. More than 50 outlets in 20-plus countries picked it up within six days.
The Wall Street Journal used our trade data to report the White House press secretary trades.
USA Today worked with us on US-Cuba conflict markets that moved before the story broke.
The need for this technology is clear. Automated market surveillance across hundreds of thousands of markets is not feasible for a reporter or even an entire newsroom to manage, digest, synthesize and act on.
The need for cutting edge systems smart enough to determine the signal from the noise has always played a role in modern information operations. BETINT.ai’s technology delivers this experience for the fastest growing new asset class across finance and DeFi.
TripWire serves more than just media clientele - organizations seeking the ability to see markets move before the headlines can reach out to discuss access.
Why Is It Called TripWire?
A tripwire goes off when something crosses it.
BETINT’s TripWire goes off when money moves before the story does.
BETINT technology focuses on three core questions:
What is happening in real time in betting and prediction markets?
What JUST happened in betting and prediction markets?
How do betting markets on everything create capital-backed incentive structures to influence, disinform, and manipulate public narratives?
TripWire is the product that delivers answers to questions 1 & 2 to our qualified partners and customers.
BETINT identifies the baseline on every market and identifies anomalous trading, market manipulation, coordinated positioning and real time price action.
We ask you - if a market that affects your organization’s stakeholders moves, who on your team is watching?
For almost every organization on Earth, the answer is nobody.
Until now.
Does BETINT Offer Additional Products?
Yes, BETINT offers a 2nd product currently in private beta with security, compliance, and intelligence organizations. You can read more about our intelligence product at bettingintelligence.ai/product, which addresses all three of BETINT’s core questions in a fully custom agentic interface.
Request a demo →
Questions or tips, find us on X at @betint.ai and @dan_zmann.